tsunamis
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The tragic events of the Indian Ocean tsunami on 26 December 2004 highlighted shortcomings in the alert and response systems for tsunami threats to Western Australia's (WA) coastal communities. To improve community awareness and understanding of tsunami hazard and potential impact for Western Australia, the Fire and Emergency Services Authority of WA (FESA) established a collaborative partnership with GA in which science and emergency management expertise was applied to identified communities.
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We present the first national probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment (PTHA) for Indonesia. This assessment considers tsunami generated from near-field earthquakes sources around Indonesia as well as regional and far-field sources, to define the tsunami hazard at the coastline. The PTHA methodology is based on the established stochastic event-based approach to probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) and has been adapted to tsunami. The earthquake source information is primarily based on the recent Indonesian National Seismic Hazard Map and included a consensus-workshop with Indonesia's leading tsunami and earthquake scientists to finalize the seismic source models and logic trees to include epistemic uncertainty. Results are presented in the form of tsunami hazard maps showing the expected tsunami height at the coast for a given return period, and also as tsunami probability maps, showing the probability of exceeding a tsunami height of 0.5m and 3.0m at the coast. These heights define the thresholds for different tsunami warning levels in the Indonesian Tsunami Early Warning System (Ina-TEWS). The results show that for short return periods (100 years) the highest tsunami hazard is the west coast of Sumatra, the islands of Nias and Mentawai. For longer return periods (>500 years), the tsunami hazard in Eastern Indonesia (north Papua, north Sulawesi) is nearly as high as that along the Sunda Arc. A sensitivity analysis of input parameters is conducted by sampling branches of the logic tree using a monte-carlo approach to constrain the relative importance of each input parameter. These results can be used to underpin evidence-based decision making by disaster managers to prioritize tsunami mitigation such as developing detailed inundation simulations for evacuation planning.
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Diatom assemblages in sandy deposits of the 2004 tsunami at Phra Thong Island, Thailand may provide clues to flow conditions during the tsunami. The tsunami deposits contain one or more beds that fine upward, commonly from medium sand to silty very fine sand. Diatom assemblages of the lowermost portion of the deposit predominantly comprise of unbroken beach and subtidal species that live attached to sand grains. The dominant taxa shift to marine plankton species in the middle of the bed and to a mix of freshwater, brackish, and marine species near the top. These trends are consistent with expected changes in current velocities of tsunami through time. During high current velocities, medium sand is deposited; only beach and subtidal benthic diatoms attached to sediment can be incorporated into the tsunami deposit. High shear velocity keeps finer material, including planktonic diatoms in suspension. With decreasing current velocities, finer material including marine plankton can be deposited. Finally, during the lull between tsunami waves, the entrained freshwater, brackish, and marine species settle out with mud and plant trash. Low numbers of broken diatoms in the lower medium sand implies rapid entrainment and deposition, whilst selective breakage of marine plankton (Thalassionema nitzschioides, and Thalassiosira and Coscinodiscus spp.) in the middle portion of the deposit probably results from abrasion in the turbulent current before deposition.
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Legacy product - no abstract available
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The historical record reveals that at least five tsunamis have impacted the Western Australian coast (1993, 1977, 1994, 2004, 2006). We document the geomorphic effects of these tsunamis through field investigations, analysis of pre and post-tsunami satellite imagery, collation of historical reports and recording of eyewitness accounts. The tsunamis had flow depths of less than 3 m, inundation distances of up to several hundred metres and a maximum recorded run-up height of 8 m a.s.l. Geomorphic effects include off-shore and near-shore erosion and extensive vegetation damage. In some cases, vegetated foredunes were severely depleted or completely removed. Gullies and scour pockets up to 1.5 m deep were eroded into topographic highs during tsunami outflow. Eroded sediments were redeposited landward as sediment sheets several centimetres thick. Isolated coral blocks and oyster-encrusted boulders were deposited over coastal dunes. However, boulder ridges were often unaffected by tsunami flow. The extent of inundation from the most recent tsunamis can be distinguished as strandlines of coral rubble and rafted vegetation. It is likely taht these features are ephemeral and seasonal coastal processes will obscure all traces of these signatures within years to decades. Recently reported evidence for Holocene palaeotsunamis on the Western Australian coast suggests significantly larger run-up and inundation than observed in the historical record. The evidence includes signatures such as chevrons dunes that have not been observed to form during historical events. We have compared the geomorphic effects of historical tsunami with reported palaeotsunami evidence from Coral Bay, Cape Range Peninsula and Port Samson. We conclude that much of the postulated palaeotsunami evidence can be explained by more common and ongoing geomorphic processes such as reef evolution, aeolian dune development and archaeological site formation.
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The aim of this document is to: * outline the general process adopted by Geoscience Australia in modelling tsunami inundation for a range of projects conducted in collaboration with Australian and State Government emergency management agencies * allow discoverability of all data used to generate the products for the collaborative projects as well as internal activities.
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The Joint Australian Tsunami Warning Centre (JATWC) provides 24/7 monitoring of earthquake and tsunami hazards affecting Australia and the Indian Ocean. The JATWC comprises Geoscience Australia, who undertake earthquake monitoring in Canberra, and the Bureau of Meteorology in Melbourne, who issue tsunami bulletins and monitor the sea level. Earthquakes are monitored at Geoscience Australia in real-time via a total network of over 260 seismic stations from both the Australian National Seismic Network (ANSN); and a collection of global stations, collaborating with other earthquake monitoring groups and organisations locally and internationally. This enables the quick detection and response to local, regional and global earthquakes, and assessment of its potential to generate a tsunami. If an earthquake is deemed to be tsunamigenic, earthquake information is used by the JATWC to deliver a tsunami warning based on the magnitude, depth and location of the earthquake combined with tsunami models. These warnings are supplemented with sea level information to validate the tsunami warning. Geoscience Australia also provides earthquake information and advice about Australian earthquakes and large international earthquakes to the Australian Government and general public. This is valuable for building safer communities in a world where the impacts of natural disasters can be far-reaching.
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The development of the Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning and mitigation System (IOTWS) has occurred rapidly over the past few years and there are now a number of centres that perform tsunami modelling within the Indian Ocean, both for risk assessment and for the provision of forecasts and warnings. The aim of this work is to determine to what extent event-specific tsunami forecasts from different numerical forecast systems differ. This will have implications for the inter-operability of the IOTWS. Forecasts from eight separate tsunami forecast systems are considered. Eight hypothetical earthquake scenarios within the Indian Ocean and ten output points at a range of depths were defined. Each forecast centre provided, where possible, time series of sea-level elevation for each of the scenarios at each location. Comparison of the resulting time series shows that the main details of the tsunami forecast, such as arrival times and characteristics of the leading waves are similar. However, there is considerable variability in the value of the maximum amplitude (hmax) for each event and on average, the standard deviation of hmax is approximately 70% of the mean. This variability is likely due to differences in the implementations of the forecast systems, such as different numerical models, specification of initial conditions, bathymetry datasets, etc. The results suggest that it is possible that tsunami forecasts and advisories from different centres for a particular event may conflict with each other. This represents the range of uncertainty that exists in the real-time situation.
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The tragic events of the Indian Ocean tsunami on 26 December 2004 highlighted the need for reliable and effective alert and response sysems for tsunami threat to Australian communities. Geoscience Australia has established collaborative partnerships with state and federal emergency management agencies to support better preparedness and to improve community awareness of tsunami risks.
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Tsunami inundation models are computationally intensive and require high resolution elevation data in the nearshore and coastal environment. In general this limits their practical application to scenario assessments at discrete communiteis. This study explores teh use of moderate resolution (250 m) bathymetry data to support computationally cheaper modelling to assess nearshore tsunami hazard. Comparison with high ersolution models using best available elevation data demonstrates that moderate resolution models are valid (errors in waveheight < 20%) at depths greater than 10m in areas of relatively low sloping, uniform shelf environments. However in steeper and more complex shelf environments they are only valid at depths of 20 m or greater. Modelled arrival times show much less sensitivity to data resolution compared with wave heights and current velocities. It is demonstrated that modelling using 250 m resoltuion data can be useful in assisting emergency managers and planners to prioritse communities for more detailed inundation modelling by reducing uncertainty surrounding the effects of shelf morphology on tsunami propagaion. However, it is not valid for modelling tsunami inundation. Further research is needed to define minimum elevation data requirements for modelling inundation and inform decisions to undertake acquisition of high quality elevaiton data collection.