Modelling of the risk posed by the impacts of extreme weather events requires knowledge of the vulnerability, or performance, of building assets. Furthermore, to assess the benefits of mitigation an ability to quantitatively model the change in vulnerability associated with mitigation actions is required. In Australia past efforts at establishing vulnerability relationships between building damage and severe wind have centred on empirical techniques, using data from damage surveys or insurance losses, and heuristic techniques. Neither of these methods permits the change in vulnerability afforded by mitigation work to be quantitatively modelled. The Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC project “Improving the Resilience of Existing Housing to Severe Wind Events” is developing a software tool, Vulnerability and Adaption to Wind Simulation (VAWS), to provide a quantitative vulnerability model for Australian house types. It is based on the premise that overall building damage is strongly related to the failure of key connections. The software uses a Monte Carlo approach whereby numerous realisations of a single generic house type are subjected to an increasing gust wind speed and the loss at each wind speed is calculated. Each realisation of the house varies from others as many key building parameters, such as connection strength, are sampled from probability distributions. For each instance, at each wind speed, the number and type of failed connections are related to damage states and extents of damage which permits the repair cost to be calculated. The repair cost is adjusted for the repair of debris impact damage and water ingress damage. The modelling of mitigation is easily accomplished by rerunning a house modelled with the probability distribution of an upgraded connection’s strength substituted. The software tool provides quantitative measures of reduced vulnerability that can be used in assessing the incremental effectiveness of a range of mitigation strategies in economic terms. Abstract submitted to/presented at AMOS-ICSHMO 2018 (https://www.ametsoc.org/index.cfm/ams/meetings-events/ams-meetings/amos-icshmo-2018/)

Modelling the effectiveness of retrofit to legacy houses requires a quantitative estimate of the houses’ vulnerability to severe wind and how the vulnerability is affected by mitigation work. Historical approaches to estimating vulnerability through either heuristic or empirical methods do not quantitatively capture the change in vulnerability afforded by mitigation. To address this information gap the Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC project “Improving the Resilience of Existing Housing to Severe Wind Events” has augmented a software tool which models damage from wind loads and associated repair cost. In this paper the development process is described including the establishment of a suite of test cases to assess the effectiveness of the software. An example of the validation work is presented along with the augmentation of the software from the previous version. Finally, use of the software in assessing the incremental effectiveness of a range of mitigation strategies in economic terms is described. Abstract submitted to/presented at the19th Australasian Wind Engineering Society Workshop.

Earthquakes occur without warning and human mobility during strong shaking is difficult. This has implications for casualty outcomes from such rapid onset events. Unreinforced masonry (URM) in particular presents a great risk in the high pedestrian exposure precincts of major cities. Surveys of major Australian cities have indicated that almost half of the central business district (CBD) buildings by number are of older URM construction and have elements that could fall onto pedestrians in a major shake. With a focus on the greater CBD of Melbourne, this risk and mitigation options for it have been studied. In a case study undertaken as part of the Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC (BNHCRC), the casualties, damage and broader economic consequences of a major earthquake in central Melbourne have been modelled. This research directly utilised BNHCRC vulnerability research on URM by the authors and separate work by Geoscience Australia on modelling human exposure in a major business precinct. Through a virtual retrofit of the high risk URM buildings the benefits of retrofit were demonstrated. In particular, the prioritising of areas of high human exposure in a manner similar to that being used in New Zealand was found to achieve greater reductions of injuries. Abstract submitted to / presented at the 2022 Australian Earthquake Engineering Society (https://aees.org.au/aees-conference-2022/)

The Shire of York is partnering with the WA Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES), the University of Adelaide and Geoscience Australia in a collaborative project that will examine the opportunities for reducing the vulnerability of the township of York to a major earthquake. The project forms part of the Bushfire and Natural Hazards Collaborative Research Centre project “Cost-effective Mitigation Strategy Development for Building related Earthquake Risk”.

Geoscience Australia produces a range of educational resources (ga.gov.au/education), including webinars on various geoscientific topics for school children. These webinars are designed to be used for classroom or home learning. They are standalone products that do not require preparation or follow-up by teachers, although this is encouraged. The webinar 'Australia's Seafloor: What's on it, who cares and how do we map it' is designed for upper primary students (Years 4-6). It is delivered by marine scientist Rachel Przeslawski and introduces the techniques and uses of seabed mapping, with a focus on Australia, as well as some of the fascinating marine animals found on the seafloor. Length: 23 minutes.

<div>The recent federal funding of the <em>National Space Mission for Observation</em> is in no small part a recognition of the capability of the Australian EO community and central to this is the ability to mount effective national-scale field validation programs.</div><div><br></div><div>After many delays, Landsat 9 was launched on the 27th September 2021. Before being handed to the USGS for operational use, NASA had oversight of configuring and testing the new platform and navigating it into its final operational orbit.&nbsp;For a brief few days and a handful of overpasses globally, Landsat 9 was scheduled to fly ‘under’ its predecessor Landsat 8. &nbsp;This provided the global EO community a ‘once in a mission lifetime’ opportunity to collect field validation data from both sensors.</div><div><br></div><div>At short notice the USGS were advised on the timing and location of these orbital overpasses. &nbsp;For Australia, this meant that between the 11th and 17th&nbsp;of November we would see a single overpass with 100% sensor overlap and three others that featured only 10% overlap. Geoscience Australia (who have a longstanding partnership with the USGS on satellite Earth observation) put out a call to the Australian EO community for collaborators.</div><div><br></div><div>Despite this compressed timeline, COVID travel restrictions and widespread La Niña induced rain and flooding, teams from CSIRO, Queensland DES, Environment NSW, University of WA, Frontier SI and GA were able to capture high value ground and water validation data in each of the overpasses.</div><div><br></div><div>Going forward, the Australian EO community need to maintain and build on these skills and capabilities such that the community can meet the future demands of not only our existing international EO collaborations but the imminent arrival of Australian orbiting EO sensors. Abstract presented at Advancing Earth Observation Forum 2022 (https://www.eoa.org.au/event-calendar/2021/12/1/advancing-earth-observation-aeo-2021-22-forum)

<div>Mineral prospectivity studies seek to map evidence of mineral system activity, with the aim of informing mineral exploration decisions and guiding exploration in the face of uncertainty. These studies leverage the growing volumes of information that are available to characterise the lithosphere by compiling covariate (or feature) grids that represent key mineral system ingredients. Previous studies have been categorised as either “knowledge-driven” or “data-driven” approaches depending on whether these grids are integrated via expert elicitation or by the empirical relationship to known mineralisation, respectively. However, to our knowledge, the underlying modelling framework and assumptions have not been systematically reviewed to understand how choices in the approach to the problem influence modelling outcomes. Here we show the broad mathematical equivalence in these approaches and highlight the limitations inherent when optimising to minimise misfit in potentially under-determined problems. We argue that advances in mineral prospectivity are more likely to be driven by careful consideration of the model selection problem. Focusing effort on model selection will not only drive more robust mineral prospectivity predictions but may also simultaneously refine our understanding of key mineral system processes. To build on these results, we present the Mineral Potential Toolkit; a software repository to facilitate feature engineering, statistical appraisal, and quantitative prospectivity modelling. The toolkit enables a novel approach that combines the best aspects of previous methods. Abstract presented to the 26th World Mining Congress 2023 (https://wmc2023.org/)

Northern Australia contains extensive Proterozoic aged sedimentary basins that contain organic-rich rocks with the potential to host major petroleum and basin-hosted mineral systems (Figures 1 and 2). These intracratonic basins include the greater McArthur Basin including the McArthur and Birrindudu basins and the Tomkinson Provence (Close 2014), the Isa Superbasin and the South Nicholson Basin. The sedimentary sections within these basins are assumed to be of equivalent age and deposited under similar climatic controls resulting in correlative lithology, source facies and stratigraphic intervals. The greater McArthur Basin contains Paleoproterozoic to Mesoproterozoic organic-rich siltstones and shales with the potential to generate conventional oil and gas deposits, self-sourced continuous shale oil and shale gas targets (Munson 2014; Revie 2017; Weatherford Laboratories 2017). Exploration has focused on the Beetaloo Sub-basin where organic-rich siltstones of the Velkerri Formation contain up to 10 weight percent total organic carbon (wt % TOC) and have been assessed to contain 118 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of gas-in-place (Munson 2014; Revie 2017; Weatherford Laboratories 2017; Revie and Normington 2018). Other significant source rocks include the Kyalla Formation of the Roper Group, the Barney Creek, Yalco and Lynott formations of the McArthur Group, the Wollogorang, and perhaps the McDermott formations of the Tawallah Group and the Vaughton Siltstone of the Balma Group in the northern greater McArthur Basin (Munson 2014). These source rocks are host to diverse play types, for example, Cote et al (2018) describes five petroleum plays in the Beetaloo Sub-basin; the Velkerri shale dry gas play, the Velkerri liquids-rich gas play, the Kyalla shale and hybrid liquid-rich gas play and the Hayfield Sandstone oil/condensate play. This highlights the large shale and tight gas resource potential of the McArthur Basin, the full extent of these resources are poorly understood and insufficiently quantified. More work is needed to characterise the source rocks, the petroleum generative potential, fluid migration pathways, the fluid types and the thermal and burial history to understand the hydrocarbon prospectivity of the basin. The Exploring for the Future (EFTF) program is a four-year (2016?-2020) $100.5 million initiative by the Australian Government conducted in partnership with state and Northern Territory government agencies, other key government, research and industry partners and universities. EFTF aims to boost northern Australia's attractiveness as a destination for investment in resource exploration. The Energy Systems Branch at Geoscience Australia has undertaken a regional study on the prospectivity of several northern Australian basins by expanding our knowledge of petroleum and mineral system geochemistry. Here we highlight some of the results of this ongoing program with a primary focus on the greater McArthur Basin. Abstract submitted to and presented at the Annual Geoscience Exploration Seminar (AGES) 2019 (https://www.aig.org.au/events/ages-2019/)

<div>Students can access and analyse real world earthquake data using online portals created by Geoscience Australia (GA) (Geoscience Australia data portal and Earthquakes@GA). The document provides background information for teachers about earthquakes and the online portals, as well as two student inquiry activities. Each activity includes instructions on how to access and use the relevant portal as well as questions that prompt students to find, record, and interpret the data. An Excel table is provided to accompany one of the activities.</div><div><br></div><div>The activities are suitable for use with secondary to senior secondary science and geography students. The topics covered in these activities include: earthquakes, plate tectonics and natural hazards.</div><div><br></div><div>The print version has lines provided for written answers, the accessible version is intended for digital responses. </div>

We are pleased to announce the forthcoming release of Ginan version 3, a suite of open-source Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) software tools developed and maintained by Geoscience Australia in collaboration with industry and academia under the Positioning Australia program. Ginan serves as a precise point positioning (PPP) engine to produce real-time products that support high-precision positioning. Its versatility is demonstrated through its applicability to various geodetic and positioning activities, including computation of daily coordinate solutions, precise satellite orbit determination, computation of satellite clocks and biases, atmospheric modeling, and data quality assurance and quality control. These products effectively mitigate real-time errors associated with GNSS observations and are openly accessible as a centimeter-accurate correction service. The primary objectives of Ginan are: (1) showcase Australia's unique modelling and analytic systems for multi-GNSS real-time processing, delivering precise positioning products to both the Australian and international Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) community; (2) offer expert advice on navigation system performance over Australia; and (3) provide state-of-the-art GNSS analysis center software to universities and research organizations, thus fostering Australia's leadership in geospatial technology development. In this presentation, we will provide an overview of Ginan version 3, highlighting its new features, the current development status, and the strategic roadmap for its continued use as an operational service. We will provide examples of Ginan’s usefulness as a platform for research and innovation including its use as the processing engine for research into atmospheric anomalies from the Tonga volcano eruption through monitoring travelling ionospheric disturbances that could be used as early warning and tsunamigenic predictors for disaster risk and reduction; and observations of the Turkyia earthquake. The release of Ginan version 3 marks a significant advancement in GNSS data processing and positioning capabilities, contributing to the broader scientific community's understanding and utilization of geospatial technology. Abstract to be submitted to/presented at the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting 2023 (AGU23) - https://www.agu.org/fall-meeting