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  • The Tropical Cyclone Impact Map provides guidance on areas likely to be impacted by severe winds due to tropical cyclones. The impact zones are generated by Geoscience Australia's Tropical Cyclone Risk Model (TCRM), and are based on the tropical cyclone forecast information published by the Bureau of Meteorology's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres. TCRM applies a 2-dimensional parametric wind field to the forecast track provided by the Bureau of Meteorology, and translates the wind speeds into an indicator of potential damage to housing. Uncertainty in the forecast track is not included in the product.

  • The collection of products released for the 2018 National Tropical Cyclone Hazard Assessment (TCHA18). - 2018 National Tropical Cyclone Hazard Assessment - 2018 National Tropical Cyclone Hazard Assessment Stochastic Event Catalogue - 2018 National Tropical Cyclone Hazard Assessment Hazard Map - Tropical Cyclone Risk Model

  • The TCHA18 Stochastic Event Catalogue contains artificially generated tropical cyclone tracks and wind fields representing 10000 years of tropical cyclone activity. The catalogue stores the track of each event in annual collections (i.e. one simulated year per file). The wind field of each event is stored in a separate file, containing the maximum wind speed, the components (eastward and northward wind) corresponding to the maximum wind speed, and the minimum sea level pressure from the event. All events are recorded in a relational database file, which contains records of the distance of closest passage, maximum wind speeds and the direction of the maximum wind speed for over 400 locations in Australia. The database also contains records of the average recurrence interval wind speeds at those stations. The database is intended to simplify the process of identifying individual events in the catalogue for more detailed modelling to support scenario planning for emergency management, for example.

  • Wind speed Coefficients: 1) Fixed 2) Linear 3) Capped

  • The Bushfire Attack Level Toolbox provides access to ArcGIS geoprocessing scripts that calculate the Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) as per Method 1 in AS-3959 (2009). BAL is a measure of the severity of a building's potential exposure to ember attack, radiant heat and direct flame contact in the event of a bushfire. It serves as a basis for establishing the requirements for construction to improve protection of building elements from attack by bushfire. The BAL Maps and Exposure report provide maps of three communities in Western Australia, with indicative BAL levels, and the aggregate inventory of assets and population exposed to the different levels of BAL.

  • Tropical cyclones are the most common disaster in the Pacific, and among the most destructive. In December 2012, Cyclone Evan caused over US$200 million damage in Samoa, nearly 30 percent of Samoan GDP. Niue suffered losses of US$85 million following Cyclone Heta in 2004-over five times its GDP. As recently as January 2014, Cyclone Ian caused significant damage throughout Tonga, resulting in the first payout of the Pacific Catastrophe Risk Insurance Pilot system operated by the World Bank (2014). According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), intense tropical cyclone activity in the Pacific basin will likely increase in the future (IPCC 2013). But such general statements about global tropical cyclone activity provide little guidance on how impacts may change locally or even regionally, and thus do little to help communities and nations prepare appropriate adaptation measures. This study assesses climate change in terms of impact on the human population and its assets, expressed in terms of financial loss. An impact focus is relevant to adaptation because changes in hazard do not necessarily result in a proportional change in impact. This is because impacts are driven by exposure and vulnerability as well as by hazard. For example, a small shift in hazard in a densely populated area may have more significant consequences than a bigger change in an unpopulated area. Analogously, a dense population that has a low vulnerability to a particular hazard might not need to adapt significantly to a change in hazard. Even in regions with high tropical cyclone risk and correspondingly stringent building codes, such as the state of Florida, a modest 1 percent increase in wind speeds can result in a 5 percent to 10 percent increase in loss to residential property. Quantifying the change impact thus supports evidence-based decision making on adaptation to future climate risk.

  • Weather radar data provided by the Bureau of Meteorology for initial investigation into thunderstorm tracking and analysis applications

  • To determine the magnitude of severe wind gust hazard due to thunderstorm downbursts using regional climate model output and analysis of observed data (including radar reflectivity and proximity soundings).

  • The TCRM Stochastic Event Catalogue contains artificially generated tropical cyclone tracks and wind fields representing 10000 years of tropical cyclone activity. The catalogue is stored by year, with a track file and wind field file. The wind field file contains the maximum wind speed from all events occuring in the corresponding track file (i.e. it represents annual maximum wind speeds).

  • Tropical cyclone return period wind hazard layers developed using the Tropical Cyclone Risk Model. The hazard layers are derived from a catalogue of synthetic tropical cyclone events representing 10000 years of activity. Annual maxima are evaluated from the catalogue and used to fit a generalised extreme value distribution at each grid point.