On 6th July 2006, an intense swarm of earthquake activity began in the Sulu Range, Central New Britain, Papua New Guinea. The earthquakes were felt almost every one to two minutes, 24 hours a day, with modified Mercalli intensities of MM1 to MM4. They were accompanied by unusual vigorous activity in the hot springs southwest of the Sulu Range. Fearing a possible eruption and tsunami, about 1000 locals were evacuated.

The Philippine archipalego is tectonically complex and seismically hazardous, yet few seismic hazard assessments have provided national coverage. This paper presents an updated probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for the nation. Active shallow crustal seismicity is modeled by faults and gridded point sources accounting for spatially variable occurrence rates. Subduction interfaces are modelled with faults of complex geometry. Intraslab seismicity is modeled by ruptures filling the slab volume. Source geometries and earthquake rates are derived from seismicity catalogs, geophysical datasets, and historic-to-paleoseismic constraints on fault slip rates. The ground motion characterization includes models designed for global use, with partial constraint by residual analysis. Shallow crustal faulting near metropolitan Manila, Davao, and Cebu dominates shaking hazard. In a few places, peak ground acceleration with 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years on rock reaches 1.0 g. The results of this study may assist in calculating the design base shear in the National Structural Code of the Philippines.

<div>On January 15, 2022, an ongoing eruption at the Hunga volcano generated a large explosion which resulted in a globally observed tsunami and atmospheric pressure wave. This paper presents time series observations of the event from Australia including 503 mean sea level pressure (MSLP) sensors and 111 tide gauges. Data is provided in its original format, which varies between data providers, and a post-processed format with consistent file structure and time-zone. High-pass filtered variants of the data are also provided to facilitate study of the pressure wave and tsunami. For a minority of tide gauges the raw sea level data cannot be provided, due to licence restrictions, but high-pass filtered data is always provided. The data provides an important historical record of the Hunga volcano pressure wave and tsunami in Australia. It will be useful for research in atmospheric and ocean waves associated with large volcanic eruptions. <b>Citation:</b> Davies, G., Wilson, K., Hague, B. et al. Australian atmospheric pressure and sea level data during the 2022 Hunga-Tonga Hunga-Ha’apai volcano tsunami. <i>Sci Data</i> <b>11</b>, 114 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-02949-2

The Papua New Guinea (PNG) region has been formed within an oblique convergence zone between the north-northeasterly moving Australian plate and the Pacific plate. The region is subject to most types of tectonic activity, including active folding, faulting and volcanic eruptions and hence is arguably one of the most seismically active regions in the world. Given its high level of seismic activity, PNG would benefit from a dense monitoring network to enhance the efficiency of the earthquake emergency response operations. A program to densify the earthquake monitoring network of PNG by utilizing low-cost sensors has been developed by Geoscience Australia in collaboration with the Department of Mineral Policy and Geohazards Management in PNG. To verify the performance, trial low-cost sensors were co-located with observatory-quality instrumentation for a period of one month in Port Moresby and Rabaul observatories. The comparisons demonstrated comparable recording results across a wide seismic frequency range. Once this proved successful, the first deployments were undertaken recently, with sensors installed in the Bialla International School, Kimbe International School and the Earth Science Division of the University of PNG. Educational institutions are ideal for the installation of these sensors as they can provide guaranteed internet and electricity, allowing for continuous monitoring of earthquakes. The data acquired by these stations will feed into the existing networks for national earthquake and volcano monitoring, thus expanding the national seismic network of PNG. This work is being undertaken as part of the Australian Aid program. Presented at the 2020 Seismological Society of America (SSA) Annual Meeting

In this study, we performed a probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) for Papua New Guinea (Figure 1) to underpin a revision of the seismic zoning map for the national building code of PNG (Figure 2). To perform PSHA, we compiled a composite catalogue for the period of 1900-2017 (Figure 3). We then developed magnitude conversion equations to homogenize the catalogue in terms of moment magnitude scale (M_W , Figure 4). In contrast to previous studies in PNG (e.g. Ghasemi et. al, 2016), we developed a seismotectonic model that includes 18 fault models (Figure 5) combined with the distributed seismicity (Figure 6) to model earthquake sources. Following the classical PSHA methodology, we mapped the seismic hazard in terms of peak ground acceleration (PGA) with 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years (Figure 1). We also computed hazard curves (Figure 7) and uniform hazard spectra (Figure 8) at the location of major population centres in PNG (black circles in Figure 1). Results of this study indicate a high level of hazard in the coastal areas of Huon Peninsula and New Britain–Bougainville regions and a relatively low level of hazard in the southwestern part of Papua New Guinea. To identify earthquake sources that are contributing most to the overall hazard, we performed hazard disaggregation analysis for all of the major localities in PNG (e.g. Figure 9). Results of the hazard disaggregation analysis shows that in the Huon Peninsula region, the frequent moderate to large earthquakes occurring on the Ramu-Markham Fault Zone results in high seismic hazard (Figure 9). The New Britain–Bougainville region also has relatively high seismic hazard. The proximity to the subduction zone of the New Britain Trench is the main influence on the calculated level of hazard

Papua New Guinea (PNG) is situated at the edge of the Pacific “ring of fire” and is exposed to frequent large earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. Earthquakes in PNG, such as 2018 Hela Province event (M7.5), continue to cause loss of life and widespread damage to buildings and infrastructure. Given its high seismic hazard, PNG would benefit from a dense seismic monitoring network for rapid (near real-time), as well as long-term, earthquake hazard and risk assessment. Geoscience Australia (GA) is working with technical agencies of PNG Government to deliver a Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) funded technical disaster risk reduction (DRR) program to increase community resilience on the impact of natural hazards and other secondary hazards. As part of this program, this study explores the feasibility of establishing a low-cost, community-based seismic network in PNG by first verifying the performance of the low-cost Raspberry Shake 4D seismograph, which includes a three-component strong-motion MEMs accelerometer and one (vertical) short-period geophone. A Shake device was deployed at the Rabaul Volcanological Observatory (RVO) for a period of one month (May 2018), relaying data in real-time via a 3G modem. To assess the performance of the device, it was co-located with global seismic network-quality instruments that included a three-component broadband seismometer and a strong motion accelerometer operated by GA and RVO, respectively. A key challenge for this study was the rather poor data service by local telecommunication operators as well as frequent power outages which caused repeated data gaps. Despite such issues, the Shake device successfully recorded several earthquakes with magnitudes as low as mb 4.0 at epicentral distances of 600 km, including earthquakes that were not reported by international agencies. The time-frequency domain comparisons of the recorded waveforms with those by the permanent RVO instruments reveal very good agreement in a relatively wide frequency range of 0.1-10 Hz. Based on the estimated noise model of the Shake device (seismic noise as well as instrument noise), we explore the hypothetical performance of the device against typical ground-motion amplitudes for various size earthquakes at different source-to-site distances. Presented at the 2018 Australian Earthquake Engineering Society (AEES) Conference

Through Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Geoscience Australia has been working closely with the Government of Papua New Guinea technical agencies (Rabaul Volcano Observatory, Port Moresby Geophysical Observatory, and Engineering Geology Branch) since September 2010 to enhance their capabilities to monitor and assess natural hazards. The objective of this program is to support the Government of Papua New Guinea in developing fundamental information and practices for the effective response and management of natural hazard events in PNG. Earthquakes as natural hazards are one of the key focus points of this project, as they continue to cause loss of life and widespread damage to buildings and infrastructure in Papua New Guinea. The country’s vulnerability to earthquakes is evident from the significant socio-economic consequences of recent major events in Papua New Guinea, e.g., a magnitude 7.5 earthquake that occurred in the Hela Province of Papua New Guinea in 2018. Earthquake risk is likely to increase significantly in the years to come due to the growth in population and urbanization in Papua New Guinea. However, earthquake risk, unlike hazard, can be managed and minimized. One obvious example would be minimizing earthquake risk by constructing earthquake-resistant structures following building standards. The high level of earthquake hazard of Papua New Guinea has been long recognised and the suite of building standards released in 1982 contained provisions to impart adequate resilience to buildings based on the best understanding of seismic hazard available at that time. However, the building standards and incorporated seismic hazard assessment for Papua New Guinea has not been updated since the 1980s. The integration of modern national seismic hazard models into national building codes and practices provides the most effective way that we can reduce human casualties and economic losses from future earthquakes. This report aims at partially fulfilling this task by performing a probabilistic seismic hazard assessment to underpin a revision of the earthquake loading component of the building standards of Papua New Guinea. The updated assessment offers many important advances over its predecessor. It is based on a modern probabilistic hazard framework and considers an earthquake catalogue augmented with an additional four decades-worth of data. The revised assessment considers advances in ground-motion modelling through the use of multiple ground-motion models. Also, for the first time, the individual fault sources representing active major and microplate boundaries are implemented in the input hazard model. Furthermore, the intraslab sources are represented realistically by using the continuous slab volume to constrain the finite ruptures of such events. This would better constrain the expected levels of ground motion at any given site in Papua New Guinea. The results suggest a high level of hazard in the coastal areas of the Huon Peninsula and the New Britain–Bougainville region, and a relatively low level of hazard in the southern part of the New Guinea Highlands Block. In comparison with the seismic zonation map in the current design standard, it can be noted that the spatial distribution used for building design does not match the bedrock hazard distribution of this study. In particular, the high seismic hazard of the Huon Peninsula in the revised assessment is not captured in the current seismic zoning map, leading to a significant under-estimation of hazard in PNG’s second-largest city, Lae. It can also be shown that in many other regions and community localities in PNG the hazard is higher than that regulated for the design of buildings having a range of natural periods. Thus, the need for an updated hazard map for building design has been confirmed from the results of this study, and a revised map is developed for consideration in a revised building standard of Papua New Guinea.

Probabilistic earthquake hazard maps were prepared for the Fiji Islands. Damage has been caused by Fiji earthquakes around 1850, in 1884, 1902, 1919, 1932 (twice), 1953 and 1979. No previous assessment had produced a comprehensive description of the earthquake hazard in Fiji and the present study was initiated in 1990 when the author was attached to the Mineral Resources Department, Fiji. Collection and analysis of data continued at MRD until 1992 and the study was completed at the Australian Geological Survey Organisation in 1993-1997. The aim of the study was to produce probabilistic earthquake hazard maps which can be used in the National Building Code for Fiji, for design of special structures, for planning, for emergency management and for risk management. Few, if any, similar studies have been undertaken in the seismically active Southwest Pacific.

The Greater Metro Manila Area is one of the world's megacities and is home to about 12 million people. It is located in a region at risk from earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, tropical cyclones, riverine flooding, landslides and other natural hazards. Major flooding affected the Greater Metro Manila Area in September 2009 following the passage of Typhoon Ketsana (known locally as Typhoon Ondoy). Following this event, the Australian Aid Program supported Geoscience Australia to undertake a capacity building project with its partner agencies in the Government of the Philippines. The output of this project has been a series of risk information products developed by agencies in the Collective Strengthening of Community Awareness for Natural Disasters (CSCAND) group. These products quantify the expected physical damage and economic loss to buildings caused by earthquakes, tropical cyclone severe wind and riverine flooding across the Greater Metro Manila Area. Spatial data is a key input to the development of hazard models and information on exposure, or the 'elements at risk'. The development of a spatially enabled exposure database was a crucial element in the construction of risk information products for the Greater Metro Manila Area. The database provides one central repository to host consistent information about the location, size, type, age, residential population and structural characteristics of buildings within the area of interest. Unique spatial analysis techniques were employed to quantify and record important aspects of the built environment, for inclusion in the database. The process of exposure data development within the Greater Metro Manila Area, including a new application developed by Geoscience Australia for estimating the geometric characteristics of buildings from high resolution elevation data and multi-spectral imagery, will be presented.

The Assessment of Tropical Cyclone Risks in the Pacific Region project represents a collaboration between DIICCSRTE and Geoscience Australia with PCRAFI and AIR Worldwide. Building on the expertise of each organisation, the project will deliver an assessment of the financial risks to buildings, infrastructure and agriculture arising from tropical cyclones (TCs) under current and future climate regimes. This extends previous risk assessments undertaken by incorporating the influence of climate change on the hazard (TCs) into the assessment process. The output of this study is a set of peril matrices, which detail the relative change in parameters describing TC behaviour: e.g. annual mean frequency, mean maximum intensity and mean latitude of genesis. The relative changes are evaluated as the fractional change between TC behavior in current climate GCM simulations and future climate GCM simulations.