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A statistical-parametric model of tropical cyclones for hazard assessment

We present the formulation of an open-source, statistical–parametric model of tropical cyclones (TCs) for use in hazard and risk assessment applications. The model derives statistical relations for TC behaviour (genesis rate and location, intensity, speed and direction of translation) from best-track datasets, then uses these relations to create a synthetic catalogue based on stochastic sampling, representing many thousands of years of activity. A parametric wind field, based on radial profiles and boundary layer models, is applied to each event in the catalogue that is then used to fit extreme-value distributions for evaluation of return period wind speeds. We demonstrate the capability of the model to replicate observed behaviour of TCs, including coastal landfall rates which are of significant importance for risk assessments.


<b>Citation: </b>Arthur, W. C.: A statistical–parametric model of tropical cyclones for hazard assessment, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 893–916, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-893-2021, 2021.

Simple

Identification info

Date (Creation)
2012-01-01T00:00:00
Date (Publication)
2024-10-15T01:54:52
Citation identifier
Geoscience Australia Persistent Identifier/https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/74266

Cited responsible party
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Author

Arthur, W.C.

1
Publisher

Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union

External Contact
Name

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Issue identification

Volume 21, Issue 3 2021

Page

893-916

Point of contact
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Point of contact

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice
Point of contact

Kendall, D.

Place and Communities Internal Contact
Topic category
  • Geoscientific information

Extent

Extent

N
S
E
W


Maintenance and update frequency
As needed

Resource format

Title

Product data repository: Various Formats

Website

Data Store directory containing the digital product files

Data Store directory containing one or more files, possibly in a variety of formats, accessible to Geoscience Australia staff only for internal purposes

theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
  • EARTH SCIENCES

Keywords
  • statistical–parametric model

Keywords
  • tropical cyclones - TCs

Keywords
  • hazard and risk assessment

Keywords
  • wind field

Keywords
  • Published_External

Resource constraints

Title

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence

Alternate title

CC-BY

Edition

4.0

Website

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/

Access constraints
Restricted
Use constraints
License
Other constraints

© Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia) 2020

Resource constraints

Title

Australian Government Security ClassificationSystem

Edition date
2018-11-01T00:00:00
Website

https://www.protectivesecurity.gov.au/Pages/default.aspx

Classification
Unclassified
Language
English
Character encoding
UTF8

Distribution Information

Distributor contact
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Distributor

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice facsimile
OnLine resource

Link to Journal

Link to Journal

Distribution format

Resource lineage

Statement

Unknown

Hierarchy level
Non geographic dataset
Other

External Publication

Description

Source data not available.

Metadata constraints

Title

Australian Government Security ClassificationSystem

Edition date
2018-11-01T00:00:00
Website

https://www.protectivesecurity.gov.au/Pages/default.aspx

Classification
Unclassified

Metadata

Metadata identifier
urn:uuid/c1d89fd0-5c41-25e3-e044-00144fdd4fa6

Title

GeoNetwork UUID

Language
English
Character encoding
UTF8
Contact
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Point of contact

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice
Owner

Arthur, C.

Place and Communities Internal Contact
Point of contact

Kendall, D.

Place and Communities Internal Contact

Type of resource

Resource scope
Document
Name

Journal Article

Alternative metadata reference

Title

Geoscience Australia - short identifier for metadata record with

uuid

Citation identifier
eCatId/74266

Metadata linkage

https://ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/c1d89fd0-5c41-25e3-e044-00144fdd4fa6

Metadata linkage

https://ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/eng/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/c1d89fd0-5c41-25e3-e044-00144fdd4fa6

Metadata linkage

https://ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/static/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/c1d89fd0-5c41-25e3-e044-00144fdd4fa6

Date info (Revision)
2018-04-10T23:10:52
Date info (Creation)
2012-06-07T00:00:00

Metadata standard

Title

AU/NZS ISO 19115-1:2014

Metadata standard

Title

ISO 19115-1:2014

Metadata standard

Title

ISO 19115-3

Title

Geoscience Australia Community Metadata Profile of ISO 19115-1:2014

Edition

Version 2.0, September 2018

Citation identifier
https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/122551

 
 

Spatial extent

N
S
E
W


Keywords

hazard and risk assessment statistical–parametric model tropical cyclones - TCs wind field
theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
EARTH SCIENCES

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