The making of the NEAM Tsunami Hazard Model 2018
The NEAM Tsunami Hazard Model 2018 (NEAMTHM18) is a probabilistic hazard model for tsunamis generated by earthquakes. It covers the coastlines of the North-eastern Atlantic, the Mediterranean, and connected seas (NEAM). NEAMTHM18 was designed as a three-phase project. The first two phases were dedicated to the model development and hazard calculations, following a formalized decision-making process based on a multiple-expert protocol. The third phase was dedicated to documentation and dissemination. The hazard assessment workflow was structured in Steps and Levels. There are four Steps: Step-1) probabilistic earthquake model; Step-2) tsunami generation and modeling in deep water; Step-3) shoaling and inundation; Step-4) hazard aggregation and uncertainty quantification. Each Step includes a different number of Levels. Level-0 always describes the input data; the other Levels describe the intermediate results needed to proceed from one Step to another. Alternative datasets and models were considered in the implementation. The epistemic hazard uncertainty was quantified through an ensemble modeling technique accounting for alternative models’ weights and yielding a distribution of hazard curves represented by the mean and various percentiles. Hazard curves were calculated at 2,343 Points of Interest (POI) distributed at an average spacing of ∼20 km. Precalculated probability maps for five maximum inundation heights (MIH) and hazard intensity maps for five average return periods (ARP) were produced from hazard curves. In the entire NEAM Region, MIHs of several meters are rare but not impossible. Considering a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years (ARP≈2,475 years), the POIs with MIH >5 m are fewer than 1% and are all in the Mediterranean on Libya, Egypt, Cyprus, and Greece coasts. In the North-East Atlantic, POIs with MIH >3 m are on the coasts of Mauritania and Gulf of Cadiz. Overall, 30% of the POIs have MIH >1 m. NEAMTHM18 results and documentation are available through the TSUMAPS-NEAM project website ( http://www.tsumaps-neam.eu/), featuring an interactive web mapper. Although the NEAMTHM18 cannot substitute in-depth analyses at local scales, it represents the first action to start local and more detailed hazard and risk assessments and contributes to designing evacuation maps for tsunami early warning.
Appeared online in Front. Earth Sci., 05 March 2021.
Simple
Identification info
- Date (Publication)
- 2021-03-05
- Date (Revision)
- 2022-05-02T08:06:22
- Citation identifier
- Geoscience Australia Persistent Identifier/https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/144453
Identifier
- Codespace
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Digital Object Identifier
- Cited responsible party
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Author Basili, R.
- Purpose
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Tsunami Hazard Model
- Status
- Final
- Point of contact
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Point of contact Davies, G.
PSCD Internal Contact Resource provider Place, Space and Communities Division
External Contact
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- Geoscientific information
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Extent
))
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- Not planned
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Product data repository: Various Formats
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Data Store directory containing the digital product files
Data Store directory containing one or more files, possibly in a variety of formats, accessible to Geoscience Australia staff only for internal purposes
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EARTH SCIENCES
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- GCMD Keywords
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Earth Science Services | Environmental Advisories | Marine Advisories | Tsunamis
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Earth Science | Oceans | Ocean Waves | Tsunamis
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Earth Science | Human Dimensions | Natural Hazards | Tsunamis
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probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment
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earthquake-generated tsunami
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hazard uncertainty analysis
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ensemble modeling
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maximum inundation height
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NEAM
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Published_External
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence
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CC-BY
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4.0
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Australian Government Security ClassificationSystem
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- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Distributor Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
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Link to article
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Resource lineage
- Statement
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This was largely developed INGV and collaborators, with minor contributions from a large number of authors (including GD from Geoscience Australia), as described in the 'author contributions' part of the paper.
Metadata constraints
- Title
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Australian Government Security Classification System
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- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
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- Unclassified
Metadata
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urn:uuid/c102e5d3-8918-4312-8e7c-34a6aa063ae6
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GeoNetwork UUID
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Co-author Davies, G.
Point of contact Davies, G.
PSCD Internal Contact
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Publication with GA co-authors
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Geoscience Australia - short identifier for metadata record with
uuid
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- Date info (Creation)
- 2019-04-08T01:55:29
- Date info (Revision)
- 2019-04-08T01:55:29
Metadata standard
- Title
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AU/NZS ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
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ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
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ISO 19115-3
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Geoscience Australia Community Metadata Profile of ISO 19115-1:2014
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Version 2.0, September 2018
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