Using scenario simulation to inform disaster preparedness: scenario development and impact analysis
The Severe Wind Hazard Assessment project aims to provide DFES with intelligence on the scale of impacts that could arise from major tropical cyclone events in communities along the northwest and western coast of WA. We simulated category 3 and 5 scenarios in the northwest, and category 1 and 3 scenarios down the west coast.
Simulations included translating the local-scale wind fields into the level of damage to residential housing, through the application of vulnerability models applied to residential buildings which had been categorised on the basis of attributes such as construction era, roof type, wall type and location.
Some scenarios produce impacts that are comparable to past events (e.g. the category 5 scenario for Exmouth is similar to TC Vance). Other scenarios are catastrophic, such as the category 3 scenario for Geraldton, where nearly all residential buildings in the city are extensively or completely damaged.
The different outcomes for communities arises because of the different profiles of residential buildings in each community. Geraldton lies outside the cyclonic regions defined in AS/NZS 1170.2, so houses are not explicitly designed cope with to the extreme winds that can arise in TCs, hence major impacts were found there in our analysis.
DFES used these scenarios to guide planning and preparations for events, such as TC Veronica in March 2019, guiding decisions on preparations and recovery options, which are explored in a companion paper.
Abstract presented at the 2020 Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society 2020 National Conference ( http://amos-2020.w.amos.currinda.com/)
Simple
Identification info
- Date (Creation)
- 2019-09-09
- Date (Publication)
- 2024-10-04T05:41:55
- Citation identifier
- Geoscience Australia Persistent Identifier/https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/144208
Identifier
- Codespace
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Digital Object Identifier
- Cited responsible party
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Author Arthur, W.C.
Author Gray, S.
Publisher Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice
- Name
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Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) 1-14 February 2020, Fremantle WA
- Purpose
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Abstract to be presented at AMOS 2020 National Conference
- Status
- Completed
- Point of contact
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Resource provider Place and Communities Division
External Contact Point of contact Allen, N.
Place and Communities Internal Contact
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- Geoscientific information
- Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
Extent
Extent
))
- Maintenance and update frequency
- Not planned
Resource format
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Product data repository: Various Formats
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Data Store directory containing the digital product files
Data Store directory containing one or more files, possibly in a variety of formats, accessible to Geoscience Australia staff only for internal purposes
- theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
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Meteorology
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Natural Hazards
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EARTH SCIENCES
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- Keywords
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Severe Wind Hazard Assessment - SWHA
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- Keywords
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impact
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- Keywords
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tropical cyclone events
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- Keywords
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Published_External
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Resource constraints
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence
- Alternate title
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CC-BY
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4.0
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- License
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(c) Commonwealth of Australia 2020
Resource constraints
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Australian Government Security ClassificationSystem
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- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Distributor Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice facsimile
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Link to Conference Page
Link to Conference Page
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Link to Abstract (p212)
Link to Abstract (p212)
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Resource lineage
- Statement
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Abstract submitted and accepted for the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society 2020 National Conference ( http://amos-2020.w.amos.currinda.com/)
Metadata constraints
- Title
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Australian Government Security Classification System
- Edition date
- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
- Classification
- Unclassified
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GeoNetwork UUID
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Owner Arthur, C.
Place and Communities Internal Contact Point of contact Allen, N.
Place and Communities Internal Contact
Type of resource
- Resource scope
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Conference Abstracts
Alternative metadata reference
- Title
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Geoscience Australia - short identifier for metadata record with
uuid
- Citation identifier
- eCatId/144208
- Date info (Creation)
- 2019-04-08T01:55:29
- Date info (Revision)
- 2019-04-08T01:55:29
Metadata standard
- Title
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AU/NZS ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
- Title
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ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
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ISO 19115-3
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Geoscience Australia Community Metadata Profile of ISO 19115-1:2014
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Version 2.0, September 2018
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- https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/122551