• Product catalogue
  •  
  •  
  •  

Does PSHA Meet the Needs for Modern Engineering Design In Australia?

Damaging earthquakes in Australia and other regions characterised by low seismicity are considered low probability, high consequence events. Uncertainties in modeling earthquake occurrence rates and ground motions pose unique challenges to forecasting seismic hazard in these regions. In 2018 Geoscience Australia released its National Seismic Hazard Assessment (NSHA18). Results from the NSHA18 indicate significantly lower seismic hazard across almost all Australian localities at the 1/500 annual exceedance probability (AEP) relative to the factors in the Australian earthquake loading standard; the AS1170.4. Due to concerns that the 1/500 AEP hazard factors proposed in the NSHA18 would not assure life safety throughout the continent, the amended AS1170.4 (revised in 2018) retains seismic demands developed in the early 1990s and also introduces a minimum hazard design factor of Z = 0.08 g. The hazard estimates from the NSHA18 have challenged notions of seismic hazard in Australia in terms of the probability of damaging ground motions and raises questions as to whether current practices in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) deliver the outcomes required to protect communities in low-seismicity regions, such as Australia. By contrast, it is also important that the right questions are being asked of hazard modelers in terms of the provision of seismic demand objectives that are fit for purpose. In the United States and Canada, a 1/2475 AEP is used for national hazard maps due to concerns that communities in low-to-moderate seismicity regions are considerably more at risk to extreme ground-motions. The adoption of a 1/2475 AEP seismic demands within the AS1170.4 would bring it in to line with other international building codes in similar tectonic environments and would increase seismic demand factors to levels similar to the 1991 hazard map. This, together with other updates, may be considered for future revisions to the standard.


Presented at the Technical Sessions of the 2021 Seismological Society of America Annual Meeting (SSA)

Simple

Identification info

Date (Creation)
2021-01-08T13:57:00
Date (Publication)
2024-03-20T05:46:49
Citation identifier
Geoscience Australia Persistent Identifier/https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/144655

Identifier

Codespace

Digital Object Identifier

Cited responsible party
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Author

Allen, T.

PSCD Internal Contact
Publisher

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice
Name

Seismological Society of America Annual Meeting Technical Sessions, 19-23 April 2021 Online

Purpose

Abstract to be submitted to the 2021 Seismological Society of America Annual Meeting (SSA)

Status
Completed
Point of contact
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Point of contact

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice
Resource provider

Place and Communities Division

External Contact
Point of contact

Allen, T.

Place and Communities Internal Contact
Spatial representation type
Topic category
  • Geoscientific information

Extent

Extent

N
S
E
W


Maintenance and update frequency
Not planned

Resource format

Title

Product data repository: Various Formats

Website

Data Store directory containing the digital product files

Data Store directory containing one or more files, possibly in a variety of formats, accessible to Geoscience Australia staff only for internal purposes

theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
  • Natural Hazards

  • EARTH SCIENCES

  • Earthquake Engineering

Keywords
  • National Seismic Hazard Assessment 2018 - NSHA18

Keywords
  • earthquake modelling

Keywords
  • probabilistic seismic hazard analysis - PSHA

Keywords
  • AS1170.4

Keywords
  • Published_External

Resource constraints

Title

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence

Alternate title

CC-BY

Edition

4.0

Website

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/

Access constraints
License
Use constraints
License
Other constraints

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia) 2021

Resource constraints

Title

Australian Government Security ClassificationSystem

Edition date
2018-11-01T00:00:00
Website

https://www.protectivesecurity.gov.au/Pages/default.aspx

Classification
Unclassified
Language
English
Character encoding
UTF8

Distribution Information

Distributor contact
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Distributor

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice facsimile
OnLine resource

Link to Conference Proceedings (p212)

Link to Conference Proceedings (p212)

Distribution format
OnLine resource

Link to Conference Page

Link to Conference Page

Distribution format

Resource lineage

Statement

Abstract to be submitted to the 2021 Seismological Society of America Annual Meeting (SSA)

Metadata constraints

Title

Australian Government Security Classification System

Edition date
2018-11-01T00:00:00
Website

https://www.protectivesecurity.gov.au/Pages/default.aspx

Classification
Unclassified

Metadata

Metadata identifier
urn:uuid/5c5afe85-ceef-4324-a0dd-3d7212fc08b3

Title

GeoNetwork UUID

Language
English
Character encoding
UTF8
Contact
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Point of contact

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice
Owner

Allen, T

Place and Communities Internal Contact
Point of contact

Allen, T.

Place and Communities Internal Contact

Type of resource

Resource scope
Document
Name

Conference Abstract

Alternative metadata reference

Title

Geoscience Australia - short identifier for metadata record with

uuid

Citation identifier
eCatId/144655

Metadata linkage

https://ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/5167d912-6784-4371-9938-3931e84ca6f1

Metadata linkage

https://ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/5c5afe85-ceef-4324-a0dd-3d7212fc08b3

Metadata linkage

https://ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/static/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/5c5afe85-ceef-4324-a0dd-3d7212fc08b3

Date info (Creation)
2019-04-08T01:55:29
Date info (Revision)
2019-04-08T01:55:29

Metadata standard

Title

AU/NZS ISO 19115-1:2014

Metadata standard

Title

ISO 19115-1:2014

Metadata standard

Title

ISO 19115-3

Title

Geoscience Australia Community Metadata Profile of ISO 19115-1:2014

Edition

Version 2.0, September 2018

Citation identifier
https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/122551

 
 

Spatial extent

N
S
E
W


Keywords

AS1170.4 National Seismic Hazard Assessment 2018 - NSHA18 earthquake modelling probabilistic seismic hazard analysis - PSHA
theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
EARTH SCIENCES Earthquake Engineering Natural Hazards

Provided by

Access to the portal
Read here the full details and access to the data.

Associated resources

Not available


  •  
  •  
  •