Product catalogue
Where's the impact. Predicting damage from TCs in sparsely populated areas
<div>Severe TC Ilsa crossed the Western Australian coastline approximately 120 km east of Port Hedland on Thursday 13 April 2023. Observations at Bedout Island were the highest wind speeds ever recorded on standard BoM instruments (gust wind speed of 289 km/h). In anticipation of the TC, residents in the mining township of Telfer were evacuated, along with a small number of evacuees in other townships (Marble Bar, South Hedland and Nullagine). As a category 5 TC, the threat of widespread destruction was front of mind for emergency managers in Western Australia.</div><div><br></div><div>Geoscience Australia (GA) has established the National Hazard Impact and Risk Service (NHIRS), which provides quantitative modelled impact forecast information for tropical cyclones, large-scale wind events and earthquakes in Australia. NHIRS has been used by the Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES) Intelligence Unit to support operational resource planning for TC events.</div><div><br></div><div>In TC Ilsa, DFES Intelligence (and GA) officers reviewed the impact predictions in the days leading up to landfall. Genuine questions were asked about the level of predicted damage, which was almost negligible across northern WA in spite of the predicted landfall intensity. Why was that the case? Was the service operating as expected? This paper highlights the challenge of educating users on the utility of impact forecasting products and communicating the components that are integrated in the impact forecast.
Presented at the 30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) 2024
Simple
Identification info
- Date (Creation)
- 2023-08-25T12:00:00
- Date (Publication)
- 2024-08-05T02:22:25
- Citation identifier
- Geoscience Australia Persistent Identifier/https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/148709
- Cited responsible party
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Publisher Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Author Arthur, C.
Internal Contact Author Allen, N.
Internal Contact
- Name
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30th Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) 5-9 February 2024, Canberra Australia
- Issue identification
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Session 36 Value chains for Early Warning Systems
- Purpose
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Abstract submitted to the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) 2024 Conference
- Status
- Completed
- Point of contact
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Resource provider Place and Communities Division
External Contact Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Point of contact Allen, N.
Internal Contact
- Spatial representation type
- Topic category
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- Geoscientific information
Extent
))
- Maintenance and update frequency
- Not planned
Resource format
- Title
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Product data repository: Various Formats
- Website
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Data Store directory containing the digital product files
Data Store directory containing one or more files, possibly in a variety of formats, accessible to Geoscience Australia staff only for internal purposes
- Project
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tropical cyclone
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- Project
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impacts
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- Keywords
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tropical cyclone
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- Keywords
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impacts
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- Keywords
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hazard
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- theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
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Natural Hazards
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- Keywords
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Published_External
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Resource constraints
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence
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CC-BY
- Edition
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4.0
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details User Any
- Use constraints
- License
- Use constraints
- Other restrictions
- Other constraints
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© Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia) 2024
Resource constraints
- Title
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Australian Government Security Classification System
- Edition date
- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
- Classification
- Unclassified
- Classification system
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Australian Government Security Classification System
Associated resource
- Association Type
- Was informed by
- Title
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Tropical Cyclone Impact Modelling System
- Citation identifier
- 145321
- Citation identifier
- 5647e42e-e330-467d-b1ed-d3adb1da8458
- Language
- English
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- UTF8
Distribution Information
- Distributor contact
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Distributor Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice facsimile
- OnLine resource
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Link to Conference Page
Link to Conference Page
- Distribution format
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- OnLine resource
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Link to Abstract (p270)
Link to Abstract (p270)
- Distribution format
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Resource lineage
- Statement
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<div>Developed from event experiences of the Department of Fire and Emergency Services Western Australia and Geoscience Australia staff during Tropical Cyclone Ilsa (April 2023), using the National Hazard Impact and Risk Service for impact forecasts.</div>
Metadata constraints
- Title
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Australian Government Security Classification System
- Edition date
- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
- Classification
- Unclassified
Metadata
- Metadata identifier
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urn:uuid/3b141632-91e3-4a23-9f90-4b3c2559954a
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GeoNetwork UUID
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- English
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- UTF8
- Contact
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Point of contact Allen, N.
Internal Contact
Type of resource
- Resource scope
- Document
- Name
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Conference Abstract
Alternative metadata reference
- Title
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Geoscience Australia - short identifier for metadata record with
uuid
- Citation identifier
- eCatId/148709
- Date info (Creation)
- 2024-07-31T04:28:44
- Date info (Revision)
- 2024-07-31T04:28:44
Metadata standard
- Title
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AU/NZS ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
- Title
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ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
- Title
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ISO 19115-3
- Title
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Geoscience Australia Community Metadata Profile of ISO 19115-1:2014
- Edition
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Version 2.0, September 2018
- Citation identifier
- http://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/122551