Towards an updated national seismic assessment for Australia
Geoscience Australia has produced a draft National Seismic Hazard Assessment (NSHA18), together with contributions from the wider Australian seismology community. This paper provides an overview of the provisional peak ground acceleration (PGA) hazard values and discusses rationale for changes in the proposed design values at the 1/500-year annual exceedance probability (AEP) level relative to Standards Australia’s AS1170.4–2007 design maps. The NSHA18 update yields many important advances on its predecessors, including: consistent expression of earthquake magnitudes in moment magnitude; inclusion of epistemic uncertainty through the use of third-party
source models; inclusion of a national fault-source model; inclusion of epistemic uncertainty on fault-slip-model magnitude-frequency distributions and earthquake clustering; and the use of modern ground-motion models through a weighted logic tree framework.
In general, the 1/500-year AEP seismic hazard values across Australia have decreased relative to the earthquake hazard factors the AS1170.4–2007, in most localities significantly. The key reasons for the decrease in seismic hazard factors are due to: the reduction in the rates of moderate-to-large earthquakes through revision of earthquake magnitudes; the increase in b-values through the conversion of local magnitudes to moment magnitudes, particularly in eastern Australia, and; the use of modern ground-motion attenuation models.
Whilst the seismic hazard is generally lower than in the present standard, we observe that the relative proportion of the Australian landmass exceeding given PGA thresholds is consistent with other national hazard models for stable continental regions.
Abstract presented at the 2017 Australian Earthquake Engineering Society (AEES) Conference
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- Date (Creation)
- 2017-09-01T00:00:00
- Date (Publication)
- 2024-03-19T22:36:02
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- Geoscience Australia Persistent Identifier/https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/116584
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Publisher Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Author Allen, T.
Place and Communities Internal Contact Author Griffin, J.
Place and Communities Internal Contact Author Clark, D.
Place and Communities Internal Contact Author Ghasemi, H.
Place and Communities Internal Contact Author Leonard, M.
External Contact Author Volti, T.
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2017 Australian Earthquake Engineering Society (AEES) Conference, 24-26 November 2017 Canberra ACT
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Abstract to be presented at the 2017 Australian Earthquake Engineering Society (AEES) Conference
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- Completed
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
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External Contact Point of contact Allen, T.
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Product data repository: Various Formats
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- theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
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EARTH SCIENCES
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probabilistic seismic hazard analysis - PSHA
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ground-motion models
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seismic hazard
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earthquake magnitude
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AS1170.4
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Published_External
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence
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CC-BY
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4.0
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© Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia) 2017
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Abstract to be presented at the 2017 Australian Earthquake Engineering Society (AEES) Conference
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urn:uuid/15c6f5e2-8f3f-4672-87e0-2e8806896c1d
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GeoNetwork UUID
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Owner Allen, T.
Place and Communities Internal Contact Point of contact Allen, T.
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Conference Abstract
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Geoscience Australia - short identifier for metadata record with
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https://internal.ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/search?uuid=15c6f5e2-8f3f-4672-87e0-2e8806896c1d
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- 2017-09-01T07:27:20
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- 2018-03-01T04:10:54
Metadata standard
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AU/NZS ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
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ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
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ISO 19115-3
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- 2015-07-01T00:00:00
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Geoscience Australia Community Metadata Profile of ISO 19115-1:2014
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Version 2.0, April 2015