• Product catalogue
  •  
  •  
  •  

Evaluation of the Tropical Cyclone Risk Model at Geoscience Australia Using AWS Observations

<div>Severe wind from tropical cyclones (TC) can cause significant damage to property and infrastructure, and accurately predicting these impacts is essential for ensuring community safety. At Geoscience Australia (GA), the Tropical Cyclone Risk Model (TCRM) is a statistical-parametric tool designed to estimate the severe wind hazards posed by TCs.</div><div><br></div><div>To assess the performance of TCRM, all TCs impacting Australia from 1998 to 2023 were simulated using various wind profile settings. Since TCRM currently lacks adjustments for local landscape effects on wind speed (e.g., topographic enhancements or variations due to vegetation or built environments), GA’s wind multiplier was applied to convert TCRM’s regional wind to local wind for each TC. Additionally, a new multiplier, derived from the Parallelized Large-Eddy Simulation Model (PALM), was used to calculate local wind. The local winds from these two multipliers were then compared and validated against 1-minute Automatic Weather Station (AWS) observations from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM). </div><div><br></div><div>The results indicate that the Willoughby wind profile outperforms other wind profiles, with a mean sea level pressure error of just 0.2 hPa compared to AWS observations over the mainland. Although the local wind from both multipliers aligns closely across 82 AWS stations (a mean peak wind gust error of -1 m/s for the GA multiplier and 0.2 m/s for the new multiplier), significant discrepancies may occur in regions with steep mountain ranges, urban areas with high-rise buildings, and other areas with complex topography.</div><div><br></div>

Simple

Identification info

Date (Creation)
2024-11-18T05:00:00
Date (Publication)
2024-12-02T00:26:33
Citation identifier
Geoscience Australia Persistent Identifier/https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/150013

Citation identifier
Digital Object Identifier/https://dx.doi.org/10.26186/150013

Cited responsible party
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Publisher

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice
Author

Hu, L.

Internal Contact
Author

Arthur, C.

External Contact
Author

Allen, N.

Internal Contact
Name

GA Record

Issue identification

2024/58

Purpose

Evaluation of TCRM model at GA

Status
Completed
Point of contact
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Resource provider

Place and Communities Division

External Contact
Point of contact

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice
Point of contact

Hu, L.

Internal Contact
Spatial representation type
Topic category
  • Geoscientific information

Extent

N
S
E
W


Maintenance and update frequency
Not planned

Resource format

Title

Product data repository: Various Formats

Website

Data Store directory containing the digital product files

Data Store directory containing one or more files, possibly in a variety of formats, accessible to Geoscience Australia staff only for internal purposes

Project
  • TCRM

Project
  • Tropical Cyclone Risk Model

Project
  • tropical cyclone

Project
  • wind multiplier

Keywords
  • evaluation

Keywords
  • wind multiplier

theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
  • Meteorology

Keywords
  • Published_External

Resource constraints

Title

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence

Alternate title

CC-BY

Edition

4.0

Website

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Addressee
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
User

Any

Use constraints
License
Use constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints

© Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia) 2024

Resource constraints

Title

Australian Government Security Classification System

Edition date
2018-11-01T00:00:00
Website

https://www.protectivesecurity.gov.au/Pages/default.aspx

Classification
Unclassified
Classification system

Australian Government Security Classification System

Associated resource

Association Type
Operates on
Title

Tropical Cyclone Risk Model

Citation identifier
77484

Citation identifier
e601ee96-3292-1bda-e044-00144fdd4fa6

Website

http://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/77484

Link to eCat metadata record landing page

Language
English
Character encoding
UTF8

Distribution Information

Distributor contact
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Distributor

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice facsimile
OnLine resource

Download the Record (pdf) [3.6 MB]

Download the Record (pdf) [3.6 MB]

Distribution format
  • pdf

    File decompression technique

    nil

Resource lineage

Statement

<div>TCRM has been developed at GA several years to estimate the severe wind hazards posed by tropical cyclone. This study access the performance of TCRM uing BoM's 1 minute AWS observation in recent 20 years.</div>

Metadata constraints

Title

Australian Government Security Classification System

Edition date
2018-11-01T00:00:00
Website

https://www.protectivesecurity.gov.au/Pages/default.aspx

Classification
Unclassified

Metadata

Metadata identifier
urn:uuid/0a010794-38e7-4240-bad9-93bf1acb4709

Title

GeoNetwork UUID

Language
English
Character encoding
UTF8
Contact
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Point of contact

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice
Point of contact

Hu, L.

Internal Contact

Type of resource

Resource scope
Document
Name

GA Record

Alternative metadata reference

Title

Geoscience Australia - short identifier for metadata record with

uuid

Citation identifier
eCatId/150013

Metadata linkage

https://ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/0a010794-38e7-4240-bad9-93bf1acb4709

Date info (Creation)
2024-12-02T00:21:38
Date info (Revision)
2024-12-02T00:21:38

Metadata standard

Title

AU/NZS ISO 19115-1:2014

Metadata standard

Title

ISO 19115-1:2014

Metadata standard

Title

ISO 19115-3

Title

Geoscience Australia Community Metadata Profile of ISO 19115-1:2014

Edition

Version 2.0, September 2018

Citation identifier
http://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/122551

 
 

Spatial extent

N
S
E
W


Keywords

TCRM Tropical Cyclone Risk Model tropical cyclone wind multiplier
theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
Meteorology

Provided by

Access to the portal
Read here the full details and access to the data.

Associated resources

Not available


  •  
  •  
  •