Evaluation of the Tropical Cyclone Risk Model at Geoscience Australia Using AWS Observations
<div>Severe wind from tropical cyclones (TC) can cause significant damage to property and infrastructure, and accurately predicting these impacts is essential for ensuring community safety. At Geoscience Australia (GA), the Tropical Cyclone Risk Model (TCRM) is a statistical-parametric tool designed to estimate the severe wind hazards posed by TCs.</div><div><br></div><div>To assess the performance of TCRM, all TCs impacting Australia from 1998 to 2023 were simulated using various wind profile settings. Since TCRM currently lacks adjustments for local landscape effects on wind speed (e.g., topographic enhancements or variations due to vegetation or built environments), GA’s wind multiplier was applied to convert TCRM’s regional wind to local wind for each TC. Additionally, a new multiplier, derived from the Parallelized Large-Eddy Simulation Model (PALM), was used to calculate local wind. The local winds from these two multipliers were then compared and validated against 1-minute Automatic Weather Station (AWS) observations from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM). </div><div><br></div><div>The results indicate that the Willoughby wind profile outperforms other wind profiles, with a mean sea level pressure error of just 0.2 hPa compared to AWS observations over the mainland. Although the local wind from both multipliers aligns closely across 82 AWS stations (a mean peak wind gust error of -1 m/s for the GA multiplier and 0.2 m/s for the new multiplier), significant discrepancies may occur in regions with steep mountain ranges, urban areas with high-rise buildings, and other areas with complex topography.</div><div><br></div>
Simple
Identification info
- Date (Creation)
- 2024-11-18T05:00:00
- Date (Publication)
- 2024-12-02T00:26:33
- Citation identifier
- Geoscience Australia Persistent Identifier/https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/150013
- Citation identifier
- Digital Object Identifier/https://dx.doi.org/10.26186/150013
- Cited responsible party
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Publisher Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Author Hu, L.
Internal Contact Author Arthur, C.
External Contact Author Allen, N.
Internal Contact
- Name
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GA Record
- Issue identification
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2024/58
- Purpose
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Evaluation of TCRM model at GA
- Status
- Completed
- Point of contact
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Resource provider Place and Communities Division
External Contact Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Point of contact Hu, L.
Internal Contact
- Spatial representation type
- Topic category
-
- Geoscientific information
Extent
))
- Maintenance and update frequency
- Not planned
Resource format
- Title
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Product data repository: Various Formats
- Website
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Data Store directory containing the digital product files
Data Store directory containing one or more files, possibly in a variety of formats, accessible to Geoscience Australia staff only for internal purposes
- Project
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TCRM
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- Project
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Tropical Cyclone Risk Model
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- Project
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tropical cyclone
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- Project
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wind multiplier
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- Keywords
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evaluation
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- Keywords
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wind multiplier
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- theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
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Meteorology
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- Keywords
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Published_External
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Resource constraints
- Title
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence
- Alternate title
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CC-BY
- Edition
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4.0
- Addressee
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details User Any
- Use constraints
- License
- Use constraints
- Other restrictions
- Other constraints
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© Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia) 2024
Resource constraints
- Title
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Australian Government Security Classification System
- Edition date
- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
- Classification
- Unclassified
- Classification system
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Australian Government Security Classification System
Associated resource
- Association Type
- Operates on
- Title
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Tropical Cyclone Risk Model
- Citation identifier
- 77484
- Citation identifier
- e601ee96-3292-1bda-e044-00144fdd4fa6
- Language
- English
- Character encoding
- UTF8
Distribution Information
- Distributor contact
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Distributor Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice facsimile
- OnLine resource
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Download the Record (pdf) [3.6 MB]
Download the Record (pdf) [3.6 MB]
- Distribution format
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pdf
- File decompression technique
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nil
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Resource lineage
- Statement
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<div>TCRM has been developed at GA several years to estimate the severe wind hazards posed by tropical cyclone. This study access the performance of TCRM uing BoM's 1 minute AWS observation in recent 20 years.</div>
Metadata constraints
- Title
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Australian Government Security Classification System
- Edition date
- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
- Classification
- Unclassified
Metadata
- Metadata identifier
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urn:uuid/0a010794-38e7-4240-bad9-93bf1acb4709
- Title
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GeoNetwork UUID
- Language
- English
- Character encoding
- UTF8
- Contact
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Point of contact Hu, L.
Internal Contact
Type of resource
- Resource scope
- Document
- Name
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GA Record
Alternative metadata reference
- Title
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Geoscience Australia - short identifier for metadata record with
uuid
- Citation identifier
- eCatId/150013
- Date info (Creation)
- 2024-12-02T00:21:38
- Date info (Revision)
- 2024-12-02T00:21:38
Metadata standard
- Title
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AU/NZS ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
- Title
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ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
- Title
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ISO 19115-3
- Title
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Geoscience Australia Community Metadata Profile of ISO 19115-1:2014
- Edition
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Version 2.0, September 2018
- Citation identifier
- http://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/122551