Authors / CoAuthors
Sanabria, L.A. | Cechet, R.P.
Abstract
Geoscience Australia has developed a model to assess severe wind hazard for large-scale numerical model-derived grided data. The severe wind modelling approach integrates two models developed at Geoscience Australia: a) A statistical model based on observations which determines return periods (RP) of severe winds using Extreme Value distributions (EVD), and b) A model which extracts mean wind speeds from high resolution numerical models (climate simulations) and generates wind gust from the mean speeds using Monte Carlo simulation (convolution with empirical gust factors) This methodology is particularly suitable for the study of wind hazard over large regions, and is being developed to provide improved spatial information for the Australia/NZ Wind Loading Standard (AS/NZS 1170.2, 2002). The methodology also allows comparison of current and future wind hazard under changing climate conditions. To illustrate the characteristics and capabilities of the methodology, the determination of severe wind hazard for a high-resolution grid encompassing the state of Tasmania (south of the Australian continent) will be presented and discussed, considering both the current and a range of possible future climate conditions (utilising IPCC B1 & A2 emission scenarios).
Product Type
nonGeographicDataset
eCat Id
69824
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Custodian
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Cnr Jerrabomberra Ave and Hindmarsh Dr GPO Box 378
Canberra
ACT
2601
Australia
Keywords
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- External PublicationAbstract
- ( Theme )
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- risk assessment
- Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification (ANZSRC)
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- Earth Sciences
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- Published_Internal
Publication Date
2010-01-01T00:00:00
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geoscientificInformation
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