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  • The Severe Wind Hazard Assessment project aims to provide DFES with intelligence on the scale of impacts that could arise from major tropical cyclone events in communities along the northwest and western coast of WA. We simulated category 3 and 5 scenarios in the northwest, and category 1 and 3 scenarios down the west coast. Simulations included translating the local-scale wind fields into the level of damage to residential housing, through the application of vulnerability models applied to residential buildings which had been categorised on the basis of attributes such as construction era, roof type, wall type and location. Some scenarios produce impacts that are comparable to past events (e.g. the category 5 scenario for Exmouth is similar to TC Vance). Other scenarios are catastrophic, such as the category 3 scenario for Geraldton, where nearly all residential buildings in the city are extensively or completely damaged. The different outcomes for communities arises because of the different profiles of residential buildings in each community. Geraldton lies outside the cyclonic regions defined in AS/NZS 1170.2, so houses are not explicitly designed cope with to the extreme winds that can arise in TCs, hence major impacts were found there in our analysis. DFES used these scenarios to guide planning and preparations for events, such as TC Veronica in March 2019, guiding decisions on preparations and recovery options, which are explored in a companion paper. Abstract presented at the 2020 Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society 2020 National Conference (http://amos-2020.w.amos.currinda.com/)

  • Consider you are responsible for providing an emergency response in Karratha. There is a category 4 cyclone sweeping towards the coast and Bureau of Meteorology forecasts indicate the cyclone will intensify to category 5 before landfall. The last time a category 5 cyclone came close to Karratha was in 1999, when Cyclone John passed 80 km east of Karratha, sparing it the worst winds. If it had not turned to the southeast prior to landfall, damage to Karratha would have been much worse. Karratha has also grown substantially since then, with close to half the residential buildings constructed after 1997. As a first responder, are you prepared for the consequences of a direct strike? Do you even know what the extent of the impacts might be? What will Karratha look like immediately after the cyclone passes? If emergency preparation decisions were based on past experience, they would likely fall well short of the required action to minimise impacts. The Severe Wind Hazard Assessment project, funded through the WA Natural Disaster Resilience Program, endeavours to provide emergency managers with realistic, modelled scenarios of cyclone impact in WA communities to inform local, regional and state planning for cyclone risk. By analysing hypothetical scenarios, the Department of Fire and Emergency Services can identify and address gaps in the understanding of the impacts of a cyclone, and improve decision-making processes at coordination and control levels. A first step in this process is to develop hypothetical severe tropical cyclone footprints for WA communities. We use a stochastic tropical cyclone model to generate a catalogue of cyclone events, then select TC tracks meeting the criteria for the exercise: events with specific intensities passing directly over communities. Here we present the hazard footprints of these hypothetical storms, and a preliminary analysis of the impacts on residential buildings. Poster presented at the 2018 Amos-ICSHMO Conference Sydney, NSW (https://www.ametsoc.org/index.cfm/ams/meetings-events/ams-meetings/amos-icshmo-2018/)

  • The Severe Wind Hazard Assessment for Queensland - SWHA(Q), is a collaborative project between Geoscience Australia (GA) and Queensland Fire and Emergency Services (QFES) which aims to provide realistic and tangible information on the potential physical impacts of tropical cyclones on Queensland communities. This is intended to enable the emergency management sector and Local Governments to more effectively engage with the community on the current and future risks posed by cyclones and inform long term strategic risk management strategies.

  • This dataset contains a collection of ESRI geodatabases that hold hazard and impact data derived as part of the Severe Wind Hazard Assessment for Western Australia (2017-2020) project. There are separate geodatabases for each community examined in the project. Within each community, multiple TC scenarios were analysed for each community. The list of scenarios is included below. Geodatabase structure --------------------- Within each geodatabase, the data is structured as set out below. The structure is repeated for each available scenario in that community. Note scenario id numbers have the hyphen ('-') removed in the <scenario id> string below. - Shapefiles |-- TCs within 50 km |-- Cat<X> <scenario id>_Impact [Polygon shape file of SA1-level mean damage state for residential housing] |-- Cat<X> <scenario id>_regionalwind [Polygon shape file of categorised regional wind speed] |-- Cat<X> <scenario id>_track_line [Line shape file of scenario track line segments] |-- Cat<X> <scenario id>_track_point [Point shape file of scenario track points] - Cat<X>_<scenario id>_localwind [Raster format local wind data] Scenarios --------- Scenairo Id number, TC intensity, Location 000-01322,3,Exmouth 013-00928,3,Exmouth 000-06481,5,Exmouth 003-03693,3,PortHedland 000-08534,5,PortHedland 012-06287,3,Broome 012-03435,5,Broome 006-00850,3,Karratha-Roebourne 009-07603,5,Karratha-Roebourne 011-01345,1,Carnarvon 003-05947,3,Carnarvon 011-02754,1,Geraldton 001-08611,3,Geraldton 007-05186,1,Perth bsh291978,1,Perth