Product catalogue
Connecting climate and catastrophe models for tropical cyclones
Queensland Fire and Emergency Services are leading the development of consistent risk information relating to the potential impacts of disasters across Queensland. The stated aim is to ensure all local, district and state government stakeholders have access to the same information to guide risk-based planning in the preparation for natural disasters. This extends to future projections natural hazard activity, including tropical cyclones (TC), in the Queensland region.
To achieve this last objective, Queensland’s Department of Environment and Science (DES) have undertaken a program of regional climate simulations, with a view to informing long-term planning decisions. When it comes to TCs – a major cause of disasters in Queensland – many of the stakeholders want to answer the question: “How many severe tropical cyclones will the future hold for us?”, or similar questions around the likelihood of TC occurrence.
To answer this, DES and Geoscience Australia are interrogating the regional climate simulations to extract Tropical Cyclone-Like Vortices (TCLVs). The behaviour of these TCLVs is then analysed to understand changes in frequency, intensity and spatial distribution. The TCLVs – with some additional bias corrections - can also be used as input to stochastic models that can provide probabilistic wind hazard information across the entire state of Queensland.
In this paper we demonstrate the challenges of extracting TCLVs from regional climate models and the bias corrections required to make useful projections of TC activity into the future.
Abstract presented at the 2020 Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society 2020 National Conference ( http://amos-2020.w.amos.currinda.com/)
Simple
Identification info
- Date (Creation)
- 2019-09-19
- Date (Publication)
- 2024-10-04T05:41:59
- Citation identifier
- Geoscience Australia Persistent Identifier/https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/144207
Identifier
- Codespace
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Digital Object Identifier
- Cited responsible party
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Author Arthur, W.C.
Author Syktus, J.
Author Chesnais, M.
Author Trancoso, R.
Publisher Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice
- Name
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Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) 1-14 February 2020, Fremantle WA
- Purpose
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Abstract for presentation to 2020 AMOS National Conference
- Status
- Completed
- Point of contact
-
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Resource provider Place and Communities Division
External Contact Point of contact Allen, N.
Place and Communities Internal Contact
- Spatial representation type
- Topic category
-
- Geoscientific information
- Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
Extent
Extent
))
- Maintenance and update frequency
- Not planned
Resource format
- Title
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Product data repository: Various Formats
- Website
-
Data Store directory containing the digital product files
Data Store directory containing one or more files, possibly in a variety of formats, accessible to Geoscience Australia staff only for internal purposes
- theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
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EARTH SCIENCES
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Meteorology
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Climate Change Processes
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Natural Hazards
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- Keywords
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Queensland Fire and Emergency Services - DFES
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- Keywords
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severe tropical cyclones
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- Keywords
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Tropical Cyclone-Like Vortices - TCLVs
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- Keywords
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hazards
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- Keywords
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Published_External
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Resource constraints
- Title
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence
- Alternate title
-
CC-BY
- Edition
-
4.0
- Access constraints
- License
- Use constraints
- License
- Other constraints
-
(c) Commonwealth of Australia 2020
Resource constraints
- Title
-
Australian Government Security ClassificationSystem
- Edition date
- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
- Classification
- Unclassified
- Language
- English
- Character encoding
- UTF8
Distribution Information
- Distributor contact
-
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Distributor Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice facsimile
- OnLine resource
-
Link to Conference Page
Link to Conference Page
- Distribution format
-
- OnLine resource
-
Link to Abstract (p216)
Link to Abstract (p216)
- Distribution format
-
Resource lineage
- Statement
-
Abstract submitted and accepted to Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society 2020 National Conference ( http://amos-2020.w.amos.currinda.com/)
Metadata constraints
- Title
-
Australian Government Security Classification System
- Edition date
- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
- Classification
- Unclassified
Metadata
- Metadata identifier
-
urn:uuid/99e12d85-d312-4dd5-aac1-ae09f784e976
- Title
-
GeoNetwork UUID
- Language
- English
- Character encoding
- UTF8
- Contact
-
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice Owner Arthur, C.
Place and Communities Internal Contact Point of contact Allen, N.
Place and Communities Internal Contact
Type of resource
- Resource scope
- Document
- Name
-
Conference Abstract
Alternative metadata reference
- Title
-
Geoscience Australia - short identifier for metadata record with
uuid
- Citation identifier
- eCatId/144207
- Date info (Creation)
- 2019-04-08T01:55:29
- Date info (Revision)
- 2019-04-08T01:55:29
Metadata standard
- Title
-
AU/NZS ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
- Title
-
ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
- Title
-
ISO 19115-3
- Title
-
Geoscience Australia Community Metadata Profile of ISO 19115-1:2014
- Edition
-
Version 2.0, September 2018
- Citation identifier
- https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/122551