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Development and Verification of the Java Exposure Model for use in PSRA

The island of Java in Indonesia is the most populated island in the world, with over 150 million

residents. Java is located in a complex tectonic setting and frequently experiences damaging earthquakes. In Java, many buildings are non-engineered and built with limited or no seismic design provisions. This has led to poor quality construction and materials being used, particularly in residential houses, with the housing sector often sustaining the highest economic losses in Indonesia. Despite this high hazard, high exposure, and high vulnerability there is limited seismic risk information available for Java. This is in part due to poor data availability to develop exposure and vulnerability models to verify them. This study has focussed on developing a village scale exposure model for Java from multiple sources and understanding the uncertainty in this process. This new exposure model harmonises multiple eras of census data, government reports, the


Global Human Settlement building height model, OpenStreetMap, post-disaster surveys and other published literature to develop an exposure model that includes residential, commercial, and industrial buildings, and schools. The model shows spatial variation in the seismic resilience of buildings based on the relative wealth, region (rural, urban or city) and population density. Model performance was then assessed through scenario damage analysis of several recent earthquakes in Java.


A reliable exposure model is a critical input to a Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment (PSRA) that would help Indonesia mitigate the threat earthquakes pose to communities and infrastructure. However, the scenario damage analyses highlighted two key issues that must be addressed before conducting a PSRA. Firstly, it identified that the ground motion models used in recent Indonesia PSHAs do not accurately represent the ground motion, particularly in areas with active volcanism. Secondly it identified that the performance of the exposure model varies across Java, but the reason for this variation is difficult to elucidate without a better understanding of the uncertainty in the exposure model. To assess this uncertainty, a suite of alternate mapping schema was developed for the exposure model. The result of this study is a detailed fine scale exposure model with uncertainty that can be used as an input for PSRA to support decision making in Java, Indonesia.


Presented at the 2024 18th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Milan, Italy

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Identification info

Date (Creation)
2024-01-30
Date (Publication)
2025-02-18T05:30:59
Citation identifier
Geoscience Australia Persistent Identifier/https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/149199

Identifier

Codespace

Digital Object Identifier

Cited responsible party
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Publisher

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice
Author

Weber, R.

External Contact
Author

Cummins, P.

Place and Communities Internal Contact
Author

Edwards, M.

Place and Communities Internal Contact
Author

Silva, V.

External Contact
Name

18th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE 2024) 30 June - 5 July 2024 Milan, Italy

Purpose

For presentation at international conference 18th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE 2024) Milan, Italy

Status
Completed
Point of contact
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Point of contact

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice
Resource provider

Place and Communities Division

External Contact
Point of contact

Cummins, P.

Place and Communities Internal Contact
Spatial representation type
Topic category
  • Geoscientific information

Extent

Extent

N
S
E
W


Maintenance and update frequency
As needed

Resource format

Title

Product data repository: Various Formats

Website

Data Store directory containing the digital product files

Data Store directory containing one or more files, possibly in a variety of formats, accessible to Geoscience Australia staff only for internal purposes

theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
  • Natural Hazards

Theme
  • building exposure

Theme
  • earthquake

Keywords
  • Published_External

Resource constraints

Title

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence

Alternate title

CC-BY

Edition

4.0

Website

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/

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License
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(c) Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia) 2024

Resource constraints

Title

Australian Government Security Classification System

Edition date
2018-11-01T00:00:00
Website

https://www.protectivesecurity.gov.au/Pages/default.aspx

Classification
Unclassified
Language
English
Character encoding
UTF8

Distribution Information

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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Distributor

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice facsimile
OnLine resource

Link to Conference Page

Link to Conference Page

Distribution format
OnLine resource

Link to Paper

Link to Paper

Distribution format

Resource lineage

Statement

Original manuscript

Metadata constraints

Title

Australian Government Security Classification System

Edition date
2018-11-01T00:00:00
Website

https://www.protectivesecurity.gov.au/Pages/default.aspx

Classification
Unclassified

Metadata

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urn:uuid/42ea6978-c048-4e08-9c7b-461e7d8bfd59

Title

GeoNetwork UUID

Language
English
Character encoding
UTF8
Contact
Role Organisation / Individual Name Details
Point of contact

Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)

Voice
Owner

Cummins, P

Internal Contact
Point of contact

Cummins, P.

Place and Communities Internal Contact

Type of resource

Resource scope
Document
Name

Journal Articles / Conference Papers

Alternative metadata reference

Title

Geoscience Australia - short identifier for metadata record with

uuid

Citation identifier
eCatId/149199

Metadata linkage

https://ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/5167d912-6784-4371-9938-3931e84ca6f1

Metadata linkage

https://ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/42ea6978-c048-4e08-9c7b-461e7d8bfd59

Metadata linkage

https://ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/accessDenied.jsp/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/42ea6978-c048-4e08-9c7b-461e7d8bfd59

Metadata linkage

https://ecat.ga.gov.au/geonetwork/js/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/42ea6978-c048-4e08-9c7b-461e7d8bfd59

Date info (Creation)
2019-04-08T01:55:29
Date info (Revision)
2019-04-08T01:55:29

Metadata standard

Title

AU/NZS ISO 19115-1:2014

Metadata standard

Title

ISO 19115-1:2014

Metadata standard

Title

ISO 19115-3

Title

Geoscience Australia Community Metadata Profile of ISO 19115-1:2014

Edition

Version 2.0, September 2018

Citation identifier
https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/122551

 
 

Spatial extent

N
S
E
W


Keywords

building exposure earthquake
theme.ANZRC Fields of Research.rdf
Natural Hazards

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