Emulating volcanic ash fall for multiscale analysis: Development of the VAPAHR tool and application to the Asia-Pacific region for the United Nations Global Assessment Report 2015
Significant advances have been made in recent years in probabilistic analysis of geological hazards. Analyses of this kind are concerned with producing estimates of the probability of occurrence of a hazard metric at a site given the location, magnitude, and frequency of hazardous events around that site. Significant advancements have been made towards the probabilistic assessment of earthquake hazard leading to the development of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA). PSHA is a method for assessing and expressing the probability of earthquake hazard at a site of interest in terms of probability of exceeding certain ground motion intensities. Probabilistic methods for assessing volcanic ash hazard at a regional-scale are less advanced. The methodology presented here, Probabilistic Volcanic Ash Hazard Analysis (PVAHA), modifies the four-step procedure of PSHA for volcanic ash and applies it at a regional-scale. PVAHA considers a magnitude-frequency distribution of eruptions and associated volcanic ash load attenuation relationships and integrates across all possible events to arrive at an annual exceedance probability for each site across a region of interest. PVAHA can be aggregated to generate maps that visually convey the expected volcanic ash hazard for sites across the region at return periods of interest, or disaggregated to determine the causal factors which dominate volcanic ash hazard at individual sites. PVAHA results can be used to identify priority areas for more detailed, local scale ash dispersal modeling that can be used to inform disaster risk reduction efforts.
Simple
Identification info
- Date (Publication)
- 2014-01-01T00:00:00
- Citation identifier
- Geoscience Australia Persistent Identifier/https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/81611
- Citation identifier
- Digital Object Identifier/http://dx.doi.org/10.11636/Record.2014.036
- Cited responsible party
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Publisher Geoscience Australia
Canberra Author Bear-Crozier, A.N.
1 Author Miller, V.
2 Author Newey, V.
3 Author Horspool, N.
4 Author Weber, R.
5
- Name
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Record
- Issue identification
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2014/036
- Point of contact
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Custodian CSEMD
Owner Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Custodian Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice
- Topic category
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- Geoscientific information
- Maintenance and update frequency
- Not planned
Resource format
- Title
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Product data repository: Various Formats
- Website
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Data Store directory containing the digital product files
Data Store directory containing one or more files, possibly in a variety of formats, accessible to Geoscience Australia staff only for internal purposes
- Keywords
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GA Publication
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Record
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- Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification (ANZSRC)
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Volcanology
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- Keywords
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Published_External
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Resource constraints
- Title
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence
- Alternate title
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CC-BY
- Edition
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4.0
- Access constraints
- License
- Use constraints
- License
Resource constraints
- Title
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Australian Government Security ClassificationSystem
- Edition date
- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
- Classification
- Unclassified
- Language
- English
- Character encoding
- UTF8
Distribution Information
- Distributor contact
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Distributor Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice
- OnLine resource
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Download the Record (docx)
Download the Record (docx)
- Distribution format
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docx
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- OnLine resource
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Download the Record (pdf)
Download the Record (pdf)
- Distribution format
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pdf
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Resource lineage
- Statement
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Unknown
- Hierarchy level
- Non geographic dataset
- Other
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GA Publication
- Description
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Source data not available.
Metadata constraints
- Title
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Australian Government Security ClassificationSystem
- Edition date
- 2018-11-01T00:00:00
- Classification
- Unclassified
Metadata
- Metadata identifier
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urn:uuid/fbee8a53-9662-0a2b-e044-00144fdd4fa6
- Title
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GeoNetwork UUID
- Language
- English
- Character encoding
- UTF8
- Contact
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Role Organisation / Individual Name Details Point of contact Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia)
Voice
Type of resource
- Resource scope
- Document
- Name
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GA Record
Alternative metadata reference
- Title
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Geoscience Australia - short identifier for metadata record with
uuid
- Citation identifier
- eCatId/81611
- Date info (Revision)
- 2018-04-20T06:06:44
- Date info (Creation)
- 2014-06-16T00:00:00
Metadata standard
- Title
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AU/NZS ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
- Title
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ISO 19115-1:2014
Metadata standard
- Title
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ISO 19115-3
- Title
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Geoscience Australia Community Metadata Profile of ISO 19115-1:2014
- Edition
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Version 2.0, September 2018
- Citation identifier
- https://pid.geoscience.gov.au/dataset/ga/122551