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  • Tropical cyclone Gita impacted the Kingdom of Tonga in February 2018, causing significant damage across the main island of Tongatapu. This dataset is a best estimate of the maximum local gust wind speed across Tongatapu, based on the best-available track information, elevation and land cover data. The data represents the maximum 0.2 second, 10-metre above ground level wind speed at (approximately) 25 metre horizontal resolution. The wind field was generated using Geoscience Australia's Tropical Cyclone Risk Model (https://github.com/GeoscienceAustralia/tcrm), and Wind Multipliers code (https://github.com/GeoscienceAusralia/Wind_Multipliers). TC Gita track was sourced from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html)

  • The Tropical Cyclone Scenario Selection tool enables users (e.g. emergency managers, engineers, researchers, etc.) to query the catalogue of tropical cyclone scenarios, developed as part of the 2018 Tropical Cyclone Hazard Assessment (TCHA18). The TCHA18 catalogue is comprised of 10,000 simulated years of tropical cyclone activity in the Australian region, amounting to over 160,000 tropical cyclone events. Using the search tools, the tracks and wind fields of individual events affecting a location or region can be discovered and explored. The returned scenarios are retrieved from a catalogue of synthetic tropical cyclones and can queried within the map and/or downloaded in various formats for follow-on analysis.

  • Geoscience Australia has produced a National Tropical Cyclone Hazard Assessment (TCHA18). The 1%/0.2% Annual Exceedance Probability Maps provides 0.2-second duration, 10-metre above ground level gust wind speeds across Australia arising from tropical cyclone events over a 2-km grid, for 1% and 0.2% annual exceedance probability (100- and 500-year annual recurrence interval respectively). Surface conditions are assumed to correspond to terrain category 2 conditions as defined in AS/NZS 1170.2 (2011).

  • The Tropical Cyclone Scenario Selector Tool (TC SST) provides an interactive application to interrogate the stochastic event catalogue which underpins the 2018 Tropical Cyclone Hazard Assessment (TCHA18). The application allows users to search for TC events in the catalogue based on location and intensity (either TC intensity category, or maximum wind speed), visualise the tracks and the wind fields of those events, and download the data for further analysis.

  • Tropical cyclone scenario prepared for Tonga National Emergency Management Office (NEMO) as part of the PacSAFE Project (2016-2018)

  • This wind field was produced within v2.0 of TCRM, using data from the Bureau of Meteorology to constrain the wind field. Wind multipliers were calculated using a landcover dataset derived from Landsat and Digital Earth Australia. This wind field may be refined in the future as new data becomes available. This record includes - the track data from the Bureau of Meteorology used to model Tropical Cyclone Debbie - the landcover dataset produced for the Airlie Beach region - the preliminary local wind field

  • Tropical cyclone scenario prepared for Tonga National Emergency Management Office (NEMO) as part of the PacSAFE Project (2016-2018)

  • The TCHA18 Stochastic Event Catalogue contains artificially generated tropical cyclone tracks and wind fields representing 10000 years of tropical cyclone activity. The catalogue stores the track of each event in annual collections (i.e. one simulated year per file). The wind field of each event is stored in a separate file, containing the maximum wind speed, the components (eastward and northward wind) corresponding to the maximum wind speed, and the minimum sea level pressure from the event. All events are recorded in a relational database file, which contains records of the distance of closest passage, maximum wind speeds and the direction of the maximum wind speed for over 400 locations in Australia. The database also contains records of the average recurrence interval wind speeds at those stations. The database is intended to simplify the process of identifying individual events in the catalogue for more detailed modelling to support scenario planning for emergency management, for example.

  • The region of coastal South East Queensland (SEQ) represents a large concentration of population, business activity and infrastructure important to the economy of Queensland and Australia. The region is also subject to severe storms that can generate damaging winds, particularly as a result of thunderstorm and tropical cyclone activity. Older residential homes have historically been the most damaged in such storms, contributing disproportionately to community risk, and recent storm damage in Western Australia has indicated that there are issues with modern SEQ homes also. This risk posed by severe wind is not well understood, nor are the optimal strategies for managing and potentially reducing this risk. Previous work has provided insights into the potential impacts of rare storm events in the SEQ region and the vulnerability of residential homes that contribute to them. The Severe Wind Hazard Assessment for Queensland (SWHAQ) project (Arthur, et al., 2021) provided valuable insights on the potential impacts of rare tropical cyclones making landfall in the region. The SWHA-Q project included two storms impacting the Gold Coast that highlighted that credible cyclone events in South East Queensland generating no more than design level wind gusts can have challenging consequences. Five tropical cyclone scenario events were selected by the project partners and modelled to provide a demonstration of the residential housing damage outcomes that could result from plausible storms that could impact South East Queensland. Four storms generated category 3 winds (gusts over 165 km/h) on landfall and were essentially design level events for ordinary residential structures. The fifth (Scenario 3) generated category 4 winds (gusts over 225 km/h) at landfall but was still quite a credible storm for the region. The events highlighted, as did the previous SWHA-Q work, that rare cyclone events of this kind affect all parts of the study region and produce very significant consequences. One design level event (Scenario 2) was found to inflict moderate or greater damage to 39% of the homes in the region, representing a major need for temporary accommodation. One of the events was used as the evidence-based scenario that underpinned Exercise Averruncus – A SEQ Tropical Cyclone Impact held in Brisbane on 15 June 2022 that explored critical issues around preparation for, response to, and initial recovery from the event. It is noted that the scale of impacts from any scenario is contingent on the characteristics of the TC itself (size, intensity, landfall location) and on the landscape in which buildings are located. However, while each scenario is unique, the suite of scenario impacts provide a useful resource for EM planning by local government, emergency services and other agencies with a role in disaster recovery.

  • The TCHA18 Data collection covers the model output generated by the Tropical Cyclone Risk Model as part of the assessment. This includes average recurrence interval wind speeds, stochastic track catalogues, wind fields and intermediary data. It also includes an evaluation track catalogue, used to evaluate the performance of the model with respect to historical landfall rates, frequency and track density.